<!--//                                                                                                               
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWNXNWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMWOddxxxxxdd0NKOOOO000000000OOO0NMMMMXOkkkOkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk0WMMMMMMMKdoooooooooooooooooooooooxXMMMMMMMMNl.':0MMMNOxkkkkkkkkkkkxx0NMM
  #MMMX:         .c,    .           ,0MMMWd.                        :XMMMMMMMk'.........    ..........:0MMMMMMMMNc  ,KMWM0'              ,KMM
  #MMMN:  .dkd'  'xdcclllclccl:.  .:dXMMMWx.  ,llllll:'',:lololo:.  ;XMMMMMKdlccccccccc:.  .;ccccccccccokNMMW0kOk,  'dxON0'  ;dxxxxxxd'  ,KMM
  #MMMN:  ;KWd. .kWWWWMWMMMMWWX:  ;XMMMMMMx. .dWWXXXXx. .dXXXXNM0'  :NMMMMWd.  .........    .........   ,KMWK;          lk'  'llllllll.  ,KMM
  #MMMN:  ;KO. .dWNkooooooookNX;  ;XMMMMMMx. .dWO;....   .....dW0'  ;XMMMMWd. .xkc::::dO:  ,kx:::::oOl  ,KMWNkoooodc.  .xO'  ..........  ,KMM
  #MMMN:  ;x,  lNMK;        ;XX;  ;XMMMMMMx. .dMKdllo;. .;ollo0W0'  ;XMMMMWd. .OOc:cc:xXc  ;Kkccc::dXo  ,KMMMMMMMMXc  .kW0'  :O0000000;  ,KMM
  #MMMNc  ;x;  ;KMK;  cOO:  :XX;  ;XMMMMMMx. .dKdddddc. .:dddddOO'  ;XMMMMW0olxXOc:cc:xXc  ;KOcccccdX0olxNMMMMMMW0;  .kWM0'  .........   ,KMM
  #MMMNc  ;KK:  ,0X; .dWWo  :XX;  ;XMMMMMWx. .dx...............ck,  ;XMMMMMMMMKxolllllod:'';odlooolooOWMMMMWMMWXo.   .oKW0'  'llllllll.  ,KMM
  #MMMNc  ;KMK;  c0:  cOk:  :XX;  ;XMMMMMWd. .xN0kxxxkxxxxxxxk0X0'  ;XMMMMMMMMx.  .'''''.  ..''''.   :NMMMMMWKo'       .ld.  ;dxxxxxxd'  ,KMM
  #MMMNc  ;KMNo  'k;        :XX;  ;XMMMMMNl  .kMNl...........lNM0'  ;XMMMMMMMMk. .:ddddo'  .oddddl.  :NMMMMWx.  ..  'l' ;d,              ;KMM
  #MMMNc  ,Okl.  ;O;  ;oo,  :XX;  ;XMMMMMX;  '0MX:  ,ooooo'  :NM0'  ;XMMMMMMMMk.  .'''''.  ..''''.   :NMMMMM0;'oK:  ;XKkXN0Ox'  ,d,  ,kOOKWMM
  #MMMN:  ;d.  .;0Xl';OWWXkk0WX:  ;XMMMMMk.  :NMN:  cKKKK0:  :NM0'  ;XMMMMMMMMk.  :xddxd'  .oxxdxo.  :KNWMMMWXXWNc  ;XMMMMMWx. .dX:  :NMN0KNW
  #MMMN:  ;0Odx0NMMWNNWMMMMMMMN:  ;KMMMMK;  .xMMX;   .....   :NM0'  ;XMMMMMMMMk.  ......    .........co';dXMMMWMWc  ;XMMMWXd.  :XX:  :NMO'.cK
  #MMMN:  ;KMMMMMMMMMMMMMMXOkOd.  ;XMMMX:   cNMMX:  ;xxxxd:..;dkl.  ;XMMMMMMMMO;.,xKKKK0;  .lddddddooc.  :NMMMMMWc  ;KX0xc'  .oXMX:  'dx;  ,K
  #MMMX:  ,KMMMMMMMMMMMMMMK;     .dWMMMKc. ;KMMMWKkOXMMMMMWXXo.    .oNMMMMMMMMWNNNWMMMMWx.   .......   .:0WMMMMMNc  ,0x.  .,oKWMMWo.      'kW
  #MMMNx::dXMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWOolodx0NMMMMMW0xKMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMXxllod0NMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWKxdoollllloodk0NMMMMMMMWx::dXNkoxKNMMMMMMNOdooodkXWM
  #MMMMMWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMNOdddkNMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMK,   '0MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWMK,   '0MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMXxl:,oNMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMWWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWWWMMMMK,   '0MMMWWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWWWMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMk.   :XMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMWKxoc:;;;:lkXMMMMMMWKxl:;;;;:xXMK,   'kOo:;;:oOWMMMMMWKxl:;;;:coONMMMMKocllkWMMMKoclcxNMMWOllcdXMMMMMMWkl,    .:coOxclclOWMMMW0ollckWMM
  #MMMNl  ....    'kWMMW0c.        'OMK,   ...      .oNMMW0:.          'cxNM0,   '0MMNc    .kMMX;   lNMMMMMMX:         .dd.   ;KMMMX:   .xWMM
  #MMMWkok0KXKk,   ,KMWO'   .;dkOOdxXMK,    'dOkl.   .OMWO'   .ckOkd'     lNWd.   dWWk.     cNMx.  '0MMMMMMMW0kc.   'dkkXXc    dWMWd.  .lNMMM
  #MMMMN0xolc:;.   .kMX:    oNWMMWMMMMK,   .kMMMN:   .xMX:    oWMMMMO'    .OMX;   ;KX:  ,.  .ONc   oWMMMMMMMMMMk.   :XMMMMK,   '0MK,   :XMMMM
  #MMWO;.  .',;.   .xMK,   .kMMMMMMMMMK,   '0MMMN:   .xWK,   .kMMMMMK;    .kMWk.  .xx. .ko   lO'  ;KMMMMMMMMMMMk.   :NMMMMMk.   lNo   '0MMMMM
  #MMK,   :KNWXc   .xMX:    cXMMMMWWWMK,   '0MMMN:   .xWNc    lNMMMWx.    ,0MMX:   ,,  cN0'  ':. .xWMMWXKXWMMMMk.   ;XMMMMMWo   'o'  .xWMMMMM
  #MM0'   'dkx:.   .xMMO'    'lddoclKMK,   '0MMMN:   .xWM0,    ;oddc.    .kWMMMO.     .OMNo      :XMMK:...lKMMMO.   .:odKWMMK;   .   lNMMMMMM
  #MMNd.     .''   .xMMWKl'        '0MK,   '0MMMN:   .xMMWKo'         .cd0WMMMMNl     lNMM0'    .kWMMx.   .OMMMNd.     .xMMMWO.     :XMMMMMMM
  #MMMWKxolloOXKxddxXMMMMWXOdolllod0WMNOdddkNMMMWOdddxKMMMMWNOxolllodOXWMMMMMMMMXxdddxXMMMWOddddONMMMNOolo0WMMMMWKxolllxXMMMMWOddddxKMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
  #MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
   //-->
  <html xmlns=http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml><head>
		<meta property='og:locale' content='zh_tw'>
		<meta property='og:type' content='article'>
		<meta property='og:site_name' content='achow.tv'>
		<meta property='og:title' content='蕭若元: 中國第四季經濟實質上陷入衰退 - 阿周電視討論區'>
		<meta property='og:description' content='2021年12月16日 (中字)從手機和汽車的銷量看中國經濟實濟情況！第四季將陷衰退！〈蕭若元：理論蕭析〉2021-12-16
							
						 	
						   '>
		<meta property='og:image' content='https://www.achow.tv/images/logo_square2.png' />
		<meta property='og:url' content='https://www.achow.tv/discuss/topic/4280' />
		<meta property='fb:app_id' content='494279444468142'>
		
		<meta name="twitter:card" content="summary" />
		<meta name="twitter:site" content="@achow.tv" />
		<meta name="twitter:title" content="蕭若元: 中國第四季經濟實質上陷入衰退 - 阿周電視討論區">
		<meta name="twitter:description" content="2021年12月16日 (中字)從手機和汽車的銷量看中國經濟實濟情況！第四季將陷衰退！〈蕭若元：理論蕭析〉2021-12-16
							
						 	
						   ">
		<meta name="twitter:image" content="https://www.achow.tv/images/logo_square3.png">
	 <meta name="viewport" content="initial-scale=1.0, maximum-scale=1.0, width=device-width, user-scalable=no"> <meta name="description" lang="zh_TW" content="2021年12月16日 (中字)從手機和汽車的銷量看中國經濟實濟情況！第四季將陷衰退！〈蕭若元：理論蕭析〉2021-12-16
							
						 	
						   "> <meta name="keywords" lang="zh_TW" content="阿周電視,周顯,新聞,政治,經濟,股票,科普,生活,網購"> <meta name="robots" content="index,follow"> <meta name="theme-color" content="#111111">
  <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8"> <meta name="google-site-verification" content="UBFshta5C3skkeNWgYdsovE8okyZH-j9j8kZWc15H_w" /> <script data-ad-client="ca-pub-6725411522734037" async src="https://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/js/adsbygoogle.js"></script>
  <link rel="alternate" hreflang="zh_TW" href="https://www.achow.tv/zh-tw" >
  <link rel="shortcut icon" href="/favicon.ico"> </head> <title>蕭若元: 中國第四季經濟實質上陷入衰退 - 阿周電視討論區</title> <body onload=Init();Cron(); style="text-decoration:none;" id=Master topmargin="0" leftmargin="0" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0"> <!----javascript------> <script src="/js/util/prototype.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/main/common.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/json.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery.form.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery.mobile.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery-ui.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery.ui.touch-punch.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/jquery.powertip.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/createjs.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/cleave.min.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="/js/util/elastic.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script> <script src="https://checkout.stripe.com/checkout.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script>
  <script src="https://player.vimeo.com/api/player.js?xxx=1111_1111"></script>
  <script src="https://s3.tradingview.com/tv.js"></script>
  <link href="/js/css/jquery-ui.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="/js/css/common.css?xxx=1111_1111" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="/js/css/lang/1.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="/js/css/desktop.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="/js/css/mobile.css" rel="stylesheet"> <link href="/js/css/fonts-achowtv.css" rel="stylesheet"> <!--<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=Roboto|PT+Sans|Droid+Serif|Noto+Sans+TC|Noto+Sans+SC|Noto+Sans" rel="stylesheet">-->
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="/js/util/jquery-confirm/jquery-confirm.min.css"> <script src="/js/util/jquery-confirm/jquery-confirm.min.js"></script> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="/js/util/image-dd/dd.css" /> <script src="/js/util/image-dd/jquery.dd.js"></script> <!----/javascript------>  <div id=header class='SM SM_border' style='color:#333; background-color:#fff; border-bottom: 1px solid #111; APP_display:none;'>
  <table width=100% class='MaxWidth1200' align=center style='height:38px;'><tr> <td width=1 valign=center><a href=# onclick=MobileMenu();><img src=/images/menu.png hspace=8 id=btnVerticalMenu class='Pointer SM_img'></a></td>
  <td id=tdLogo width=100><a href=/><img src=/images/logo.png id=logo class=SM_img height=38 hspace=5 vspace=5></a></td> <td width=50 class=mobilehide style='display:none;'></td> <td id=tdVideo width=85 class=1200hide style='display:none;'> <div class=posRel><a href=/video class='Black bold SM_font'>視頻<div class='posAbs font14 bold updateCount' style='top:-5px; right:30px;'>7</div></a></div> </td> <td id=tdBlog width=85 class=1200hide style='display:none;'> <div class=posRel><a href=/blog class='Black bold SM_font'>文字<div class='posAbs font14 bold updateCount' style='top:-5px; right:30px;'>5</div></a></div> </td> <td id=tdComments width=85 class=1200hide style='display:none;'> <div class=posRel><a href=/comments class='Black bold SM_font'>留言</a></div> </td> <td id=tdDiscuss width=85 class=1200hide style='display:none;'> <div class=posRel><a href=/discuss class='Black bold SM_font'>討論</a></div> </td> <td id=tdPortfolio width=167 class=1200hide style='display:none;'> <div class=posRel><a href=https://achow.tv/portfolio class='Black bold SM_font'><img src=/images/portfolio.gif height=25 hspace=5 class=SM_img style='vertical-align:-5px;'>大師實倉</a></div>
  </td> <td id=PanelSearchBox class=mobilehide style='display:none;'> <table cellspacing=1 cellpadding=0><tr> <td align=right><input class=searchbox style='width:188px; height:35px; border: 1px solid #555; padding-left:10px;' id=tbxkeyword value='' inputmode=search></td>
  <td width=1 valign=top><img src=/images/search.png height=35 class=pointer onclick="search();"></td> </tr></table> </td> <td valign=center align=right nowrap><img src=/images/search2.png height=25 hspace=5 id=mBtnSearch class='mobileshow SM_img' style='display:none;' onclick=" if ($('#PanelSearchBox').is(':hidden')) {
  jih('mBtnSearch'); jis('PanelSearchBox'); jih('memberIcons'); $('.searchbox').focus(); } else { jih('PanelSearchBox'); jis('mBtnSearch'); jis('memberIcons'); } "> <div class='inline'> <!--SUB<a href=/subscribe  class='DarkGrey font14 SM_font'>訂閱</a> <img src=/images/line_grey.gif width=1 height=15 hspace=10> --> </div> <div class='inline'> <a href=/qa><img src=/images/qa.png height=28 hspace=5 class='finishshow narrowhide SM_img'></a> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1>  <a href=# class='DarkGrey font14 SM_font' onclick="
                 //if ( !isMobile() ) OpenDialog('/i/nLogin?dialog=1', 680, 500);
                 if ( !isMobile() ) location.href = '/login'; else location.href = '/login'; ">登入</a>
                 </div> </td> <td width=5></td> </tr></table> </div> <div style='height:38px;APP_display:none;'></div> <div class=posAbs id=location_menu style=' display:none; max-width:530px; width:100%; height:509px; overflow-y:scroll; background-color: #C4E6FF;
  z-index:1000000; '><img src=/images/close_blue.png width=25 hspace=8 vspace=8 align=right class=pointer onclick="jih('location_menu');"> <div style="padding:15px 15px"></div> </div> </div> <input id=tbxNull> <a href=# onclick="
  if (!isMobile()) OpenDialog('/i/qContactUs_Mini',400,360); else OpenDialog('/i/qContactUs_Mini',400,350,0,0,0,1); return false; "><img src=/images/chat.png width=35 id=iconMiniChat style=' position:fixed; bottom:30px; right:-3000px; z-index:10000000; '></a> <div id=iconAI class=pointer onclick=" if (location.href=='https://www.achow.tv/' || location.href=='https://www.achow.tv') ScrollToElement('ai_html', -88);
  else OpenDialog('/i/qAI', 800, 600); " style=' position:fixed; bottom:88px; right:-3000px; z-index:10000000; text-align:center; background-color:#fff;'
  > <font class='font11 bold'>Ask AI</font><br> <img src=/images/ask_ai.gif width=35> </div> <!--<img src=/images/top.png class=SM_img width=40 id=iconBackTop onclick="ScrollTop();" style=' position:fixed; bottom:30px; right:-3000px; z-index:10000000; '>--> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org",
  "@type": "LocalBusiness", "name" : "阿周電視", "url": "https://www.achow.tv",
  "logo": "https://www.achow.tv/images/logo.png",
  "image": "https://www.achow.tv/images/logo.png",
  "description": "2021年12月16日 (中字)從手機和汽車的銷量看中國經濟實濟情況！第四季將陷衰退！〈蕭若元：理論蕭析〉2021-12-16
							
						 	
						   ", "telephone": "+852", "address": { "@type": "PostalAddress", "addressLocality": "Hong Kong", "addressRegion": " Hong Kong", "streetAddress": "柴灣 吉勝街12號 達藝工業中心 1302", "postalCode": "00000" }, "openingHours": [ "Mo-Sa 08:00-19:00" ] } </script> <script> if (jiv('tbxkeyword')=='') initTBX('tbxkeyword','搜尋文字及視頻'); // mobile adj
  if (isMobile()) { $('#tbxkeyword').css('width','95%');
  } $("#tbxkeyword").keypress(function (event) {
  if (event.keyCode == 13) { search(); } }); setInterval(function(){ if (!isMobile()) $('#suggestion_menu').css('left', $('#tbxkeyword').position().left);
  }, 500); function search() { if (jiv('tbxkeyword')=='搜尋文字及視頻') jiv('tbxkeyword','<NULL>'); //var keyword = Traditionalized(jiv('tbxkeyword'));
  var keyword = jiv('tbxkeyword'); var keyword_encoded = urlencode(keyword); if (keyword_encoded=='') location.href = 'https://achow.tv/i/qSearch';
  else location.href = '/i/qSearch?keyword='+keyword_encoded; } </script> <!-- Global site tag (gtag.js) - Google Analytics --> <script async src="https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtag/js?id=UA-85714902-2"></script>
  <script> window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; function gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);} gtag('js', new Date()); gtag('config', 'G-WXEXC3TZQW'); gtag('config', 'UA-85714902-2'); </script> <!--Scroll bar Stylle--> <style> /* width */ width: 10px; } /* Track */   background: #D1EBFF; 
  } /* Handle */   background: #49B0FF; 
  } /* Handle on hover */   background: #49B0FF; 
  } </style> <!-- Quote Box --> <div id=quotebox style='display:none; position:fixed; width:100% ; left:50%;transform: translateX(-50%); text-align:center; top:50px; padding:10px; border:1px solid #111; z-index:900000;' class='MaxWidth500 SM SM_border'>
  <font class='SM_font font14_'>美股報價: </font><input class='tbx_aline2 SM_font_ font15_' id=symbol2 value='' style='text-align:center;width:50px;height:20px;padding:3px;'> <img src=/images/search2.png width=20 id=submit_us2 class='SM_img pointer' onclick=" var uri = 'https://aconomist.com/stock/'+jiv('symbol2');
  location.href=uri; "> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=8 height=1> <font class='SM_font font14_'>權益披露: </font><input class='tbx_aline2 SM_font_ font15_' id=code2 value='' style='text-align:center;width:50px;height:20px;padding:3px;'> <img src=/images/search2.png width=20 id=submit2 class='SM_img pointer' onclick=" var uri = 'https://aconomist.com/i/ccass/index?code='+jiv('code2');
  location.href=uri; "> </div> <script> setInterval(function(){ if (InStr(location.href,'aconomist.com')) { var scroll = $(window).scrollTop(); if (scroll>150) jis('quotebox'); else jih('quotebox'); } }, 100); $('#symbol2').focus(function() {
  jiv('symbol2','<NULL>'); $('#symbol2').select();
  }); $('#symbol2').keyup(function(e){
  if(e.keyCode == 13) $('#submit_us2').trigger('click');
  });     // ccass code box events
  $('#code2').focus(function() {
  jiv('code2','<NULL>'); $('#code2').select();
  }); $('#code2').keyup(function(e){
  if(e.keyCode == 13) $('#submit2').trigger('click');
 }); </script> <div class='h50 SM_' class=hideorblur></div><div class='h20 SM_' class=hideorblur></div>	<script src=/js/util/tinymce/tinymce.min.js></script>
	<div style="position:fixed;right:10px;top:120px;padding:5px;" id=btnReply_top class=SM_>
		<input type=button class='pointer posRel button_grey2 font14_' style='height:28px;border: solid 2px #999999;padding: 2px 10px;' value='發表回應' onclick="
				scroll_time=500;
				$('#dummy_discussTextArea').trigger('click');
		">
	</div>
	<center class='SM_ SM_font' id=main>
	<div class=MaxWidth800>
		<table width=100%><tr>
			<td align=center class=SM>
				<table width=95% class=font15_>
					<tr><td>
						<div class=h10></div>
						<a href=/i/discuss/qDiscuss?keyword=AUTHOR:4775356c4f6c5a585546676d65396f693153566367413d3d class='font13_ SM_font_'><img src=/i/qImage?filecode=4C4AAB97D7927EEFBC2287127C3C42FA44DF93E2668B48AA17A2BF7D5A86C5F6075BAF0A2BD6 class=circleImg width=30><img src=/images/account_type/2.png hspace=3 width=22> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1>  阿周電視</a> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=10 height=1> <font class='SM_font_ font13_'>2年前</font>
						<div class=h5></div>
						<font class='SM_font font20_'>蕭若元: 中國第四季經濟實質上陷入衰退</font>
						<div class=h10></div>
						<font class='SM_font word_break'>2021年12月16日 (中字)從手機和汽車的銷量看中國經濟實濟情況！第四季將陷衰退！〈蕭若元：理論蕭析〉2021-12-16
							<div class=h15></div>
						 	<iframe width=100% height=338 src=https://www.youtube.com/embed/0mbqUJpgl3Y?autoplay=0&start=1 frameborder=0 allowfullscreen></iframe>
						   </font>
						<div class=h15></div>
						<font class=font13_>
					
			<a href=# onclick="Discuss_Vote(4280,1); return false;"><img src=/images/vote_up.png id=vote_up_4280 width=15 hspace=3><span id=vote_up_4280_count class=SM_font>0</span></a>
		  <a href=# onclick="Discuss_Vote(4280,-1); return false;"><img src=/images/vote_down.png id=vote_down_4280 width=15 hspace=3><span id=vote_down_4280_count class=SM_font>0</span></a>
	
					<img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1>
		  		<a href='javascript:void(0)' onclick="
		  			$.get('/i/discuss/nDiscussTextArea?mother=4280&replyto=4280&type=2&height=200'+urlRand(), function (res) {
							clearDiscussAreaBox();
							jis('dummy_discussTextArea');
							$('#dummy_discussTextArea').trigger('click');
							ScrollToElement('DAA',-88);
						});
		  		">
		  			<img src=/images/reply.png width=15 class=SM_image hspace=8><font class='SM_font_'>回應</font>
		  		</a>
		  		
	</font>
						<div class=h20></div>
					</tr></td>
					<tr>
					<td colspan=10 style='border-bottom:1px solid' class=SM_border_grey></td>
					
					</tr>
				</table>
				
				<div class=h10></div>
				
				<table width=100% cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0><tr><td><div id=new_reply></div></td></tr></table>
				<div class=h30></div>
				
				<table width=95% class=SM_font_><tr><td><img src=/i/qImage?filecode=4C4AAB97D7927EEFBC2E920B713C7BE54ADE9FFD2CB259AA1FE4E22E03CAC3FB4645EF07 class=circleImg width=30> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1>  回應:</td></tr></table>
				<textarea readonly id=dummy_discussTextArea class=SM style='height:100px; width:95%;margin-top:10px;' onclick="
					$('[id^=discussTextAreaReply_').html('');
		  		jiv('discussTextArea',' ');
					$.get('/i/discuss/nDiscussTextArea?mother=4280&type=1&height=200'+urlRand(), function (res) {
							clearDiscussAreaBox();
							
							jih('dummy_discussTextArea');
							jis('discussTextArea');
							jiv('discussTextArea',res);
							ScrollToElement('DAA',-88,scroll_time);
							scroll_time = 1000;
							mobileKeyboard(1);
					});
				"></textarea>
				<div id=DAA></div>
				<div id=discussTextArea style='width:95%;'></div>
				<div class=h20></div>
			</td>
			<!--<td width=18 class='mobilehide'></td>
			<td width=388 class='mobilehide SM' style=display:none;></td>-->
		</tr></table>
	</div>
	
	</center>
	
	<script>
		// init
		getPrice(true);
		var scroll_time = 1000;
		
		if (!isMobile()) {
			setInterval(function(){
				var w = $( document ).width();
				var tw = 800;
				if (w*0.95<800) tw = w*0.95;
				var x = (w - tw) / 2;
				$('#btnReply_top').css('right',x);
			}, 50);
		}
	</script><div class='h50 SM'></div><div id=footer class='FullBlock SM_border' style='background-color:#111; border-top:1px solid #fff; APP_display:none;'>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <center> <div class=h30></div> <table width=100% class=MaxWidth1000><tr> <td align=center><font color=#ffffff><b>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <font color=white size=2><b> <a href=/about class=White>關於我們</a> <!--<img src=/images/line_grey.gif width=1 height=15 hspace=10> <a href=/terms class=White>條款和細則</a> <div class='mobilehide inline'> <img src=/images/line_grey.gif width=1 height=15 hspace=10> <a href=/privacypolicy class=White>私隱政策</a>--> <img src=/images/line_grey.gif width=1 height=15 hspace=10> <a href=/cookiepolicy class=White>Cookie政策</a> <img src=/images/line_grey.gif width=1 height=15 hspace=10> <a href=/contact class=White>聯絡我們</a> </div> </font></b> <br><img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=38><br> <a href=https://www.youtube.com/c/阿周電視 target=blank><img src=/images/youtube.png height=25 hspace=12></a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <a href=https://www.facebook.com/achowtv target=_blank><img src=/images/facebook.png height=33 hspace=12></a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <a href=https://weibo.com/microchow target=_blank><img src=/images/weibo.png height=33 hspace=12></a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <div class='mobileshow h15'></div> <div class='inlineb column_block pointer font13_ SM_font_' onclick=" if (!isMobile()) window.open('https://www.mpfinance.com/fin/columnist3.php?col=1463481127012');
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   else  window.open('https://m.mingpao.com/fin/columnist3.php?col=1463481127012');
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   "> <img src=/images/media/mingpao.png height=38 class=SM_img_brightness> <div class=h5></div> 投資二三事 </div> <div class='inlineb column_block pointer font13_ SM_font_' onclick="window.open('https://www.am730.com.hk/columnist/%E6%94%BF%E7%B6%93%E5%AF%86%E7%A2%BC:%20%E5%91%A8%E9%A1%AF')">
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <img src=/images/media/am730.png height=38> <div class=h5></div> 政經密碼 </div> <div class='inlineb column_block pointer font13_ SM_font_' onclick="window.open('https://www.orangenews.hk/special/list.jhtml?userId=191')">
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <img src=/images/media/orangenews.png height=38> <div class=h5></div> 食色中環 </div> <br><img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=28><br> <font color=white size=2><b>版權 © 2024 Kim Ching Tin Limited</b> <div class=h30></div> <br><img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=28 class=mobileshow> </td> </tr></table> </center> </div> <div id="DataSavedBox" style=" position: absolute; top: -1000px; left: -1000px; background-color:#888;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   padding: 15px; border-radius: 6px; z-index:1000000000; "> <font face=arial size=2 color=#ffffff><div id=DataSavedBoxContent></div></font>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <script>$('#DataSavedBox').hide();</script>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </div> <div id="PanelVerticalMenu" style=" position: fixed; top: 0px; left: -1000px; background-color:#333;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   border-right:1px solid #fff;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   width: 180px; height: 1000px; padding: 15px; z-index: 10000000; "> <!------Login Status------> <center> <table width=100%  border="0" cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0><tr> <td align=center>  </td> </tr></table> </center> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=15><br> <!------Login Status------> <font class=font15 color=#ffffff><b>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <a href=/history class=White>購物紀錄 <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=https://actvmall.com/wallet class=White>錢包</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=/portfolio class=White>大C實倉</a> <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=/discuss class=White>財經討論區</a> <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=https://aconomist.com/ipo class=White>新股IPO</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <span class=NarrowHide> <a href=/video class=White>視頻</a> <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=/blog class=White>文章</a> <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> </span> <a href=https://aconomist.com/#SCROLL_CRYPTO class=White>加密貨幣報價</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=https://aconomist.com/#SCROLL_PLACING class=White>供股表</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <a href=https://aconomist.com/#SCROLL_CCASS_BIGCHANGES class=White>CCASS持股量異動股票</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br> <!--<a href=https://aconomist.com/#SCROLL_ARK class=White>ARK專區</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br>--> <a href=/account class=White>設定</a> <br><img src=/images/line_grey.gif class=freeImage width=100% height=1 vspace=9><br>  <center> <div class=h15></div> <table width=100% cellpadding=8><tr> <td><font color=#ffffff class=font13_>暗黑模式:</font></td>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <td> <label class="switch"> <input type="checkbox" id=ScreenMode> <span class="slider round"></span> </label> </td> </tr></table> <div class=h30> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=10><br> <font face='Noto Sans TC'> <a href=# onclick='LanguageChange(1);' class='White font17'>繁</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </font> - <font face='Noto Sans SC'> <a href=# onclick='LanguageChange(2);' class='White font17'>簡</a>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </font> <!-- - <a href=# onclick='LanguageChange(0);' class='White'>Eng</a>-->
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </center> </font> </div> <div id=CookiePopup style='display:none;'> <table width=100% class=MaxWidth800 align=center cellpadding=8><tr> <td><b class=font14_>我們的網站使用Cookie</b> <div class=h10></div> <font class=font13_>我們使用Cookie以確保網站能正常運作，並改善你的使用我們網站時的使用體驗，<a href=/cookiepolicy class=Green3>點擊這裡了解更多</a></font> </td> <td align=right><input type=button class='button0 font14_'  value='接受' style="width:70px;" onclick="jih('CookiePopup'); setCookie('ACCEPTCOOKIE',1);"></td> </tr></table> </div> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=1 height=1 id=horizontalextender class=freeImage> <div id=fullscreen_loading style='display:none;'> <div class=posAbs style='top: 50%; width:100% ; text-align:center; color:#fff;' id=fullscreen_loading_txt>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   緩衝處理中 <br> <img src=/images/loading10.gif vspace=10 height=25></div> </div> <div id=Ticker class='SM posRel' style="position:fixed;bottom:0px;width:100%;height:48px;left:-100000;">                  <!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN --> <div class="tradingview-widget-container"> <div class="tradingview-widget-container__widget"></div>   <script type="text/javascript" src="https://s3.tradingview.com/external-embedding/embed-widget-ticker-tape.js" async>                 {  "symbols": [ { "description": "道瓊斯", "proName": "FOREXCOM:DJI" }, { "description": "納斯達克", "proName": "FOREXCOM:NSXUSD" }, { "description": "標準普爾500", "proName": "FOREXCOM:SPXUSD" }, { "description": "蘋果公司", "proName": "AAPL" }, { "description": "Alphabet公司", "proName": "GOOGL" }, { "description": "特斯拉", "proName": "TSLA" },  { "description": "ROKU", "proName": "ROKU" },  { "description": "SQ", "proName": "SQ" },  { "description": "NVTA", "proName": "NVTA" },  { "description": "CRSP", "proName": "CRSP" },  { "description": "TDOC", "proName": "TDOC" },  { "description": "U", "proName": "U" },  { "description": "COIN", "proName": "COIN" },  { "description": "SHOP", "proName": "SHOP" },  { "description": "ZM", "proName": "ZM" },  { "description": "WORK", "proName": "WORK" },  { "description": "黃金", "proName": "TVC:GOLD" }, { "description": "原油", "proName": "TVC:USOIL" } ] , "showSymbolLogo": false, "colorTheme": "light", "isTransparent": true, "displayMode": "adaptive",   "largeChartUrl": "https://aconomist.com/i/stock", "locale": "zh_TW" } </script> </div> <!-- TradingView Widget END -->  <div class='posAbs SM mobilehide financehide' style='width:100px;height:38px;bottom:0px;left:40px;display:none;'><a href=https://aconomist.com><img src=/images/logo_finance.png width=80 class=SM_img></a></div>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </div> <div class='SM' style='width:40px;height:38px;bottom:0px;left:0px;display:none;position:fixed;' id=minTicker><a href=# onclick="toggleTicker(0); return false;"><img src=/images/min.png width=20 hspace=10 vspace=10 class=SM_img></a></div>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <div class='SM' style='width:40px;height:38px;bottom:0px;left:0px;display:none;position:fixed;' id=maxTicker><a href=# onclick="toggleTicker(1); return false;"><img src=/images/max.png width=20 hspace=10 vspace=10 class=SM_img></a></div>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <script> // Guest Arrangements
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   function GuestCheck() { if ('' == '') { jch('GuestHide'); jcs('GuestShow'); } else { jcs('GuestHide'); jch('GuestShow'); } } // Hide PanelVerticalMenu on Start
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#PanelVerticalMenu').hide();
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   // btnVerticalMenu Event
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $("#btnVerticalMenu").click(function() {
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if ($('#PanelVerticalMenu').is(":hidden")) {
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#PanelVerticalMenu').show();
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#btnVerticalMenu').attr('src','/images/back.png');
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#header').css('padding-left',210);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   objRotate('btnVerticalMenu',180); if (isMobile()) { $('#horizontalextender').width(1000);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#horizontalextender').height(1);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   } } else { $('#PanelVerticalMenu').hide();
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#btnVerticalMenu').attr('src','/images/menu.png');
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#header').css('padding-left',0);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   objRotate('btnVerticalMenu',180); $('#horizontalextender').width(1);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('#horizontalextender').height(1);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   } return false; }); // ScreenMode
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ScreenMode = getCookie('ScreenMode'); if (ScreenMode==1) $('#ScreenMode').prop('checked', true);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (isNull(ScreenMode)) ScreenMode = 0; setScreenMode(ScreenMode); // for mobile re-open which may not read cookies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   setTimeout(function(){ if ($('#ScreenMode').is(":checked")) setScreenMode(1);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   }, 500); setTimeout(function(){ if ($('#ScreenMode').is(":checked")) setScreenMode(1);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   }, 1000); $("#ScreenMode").change(function() {
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if(this.checked) { setScreenMode(1); } else { setScreenMode(0); } }); // toggleTicker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (getCookie('showTicker')==1 || getCookie('showTicker')=='') toggleTicker(1); else toggleTicker(0); function toggleTicker(status) { if (status==0) { setCookie('showTicker',0,250); $('#Ticker').css('left',-100000);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   jih('minTicker'); jis('maxTicker') } if (status==1) { setCookie('showTicker',1,250); $('#Ticker').css('left',0);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   jis('minTicker'); jih('maxTicker') } } // startshow finishshow, init vimeo player 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var finishloading_Interval = setInterval(function(){ try { jiv('DLLM');   // script finish loading jobs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     //////////////////////////////
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $('.startshow').hide(); $('.finishshow').show();    $('#PanelVerticalMenu').css('left',0);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var w = $( window ).width(); if (w > 800) { $('.mobilehide').show(); $('.mobileshow').hide(); } else { $('.mobilehide').hide(); $('.mobileshow').show(); } if (isIpad()) { $('.ipadhide').hide(); $('.ipadshow').show(); } if ($(window).width() < 350) { $('.narrowhide').hide(); }  //financehide financeshow
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (InStr(location.href,'aconomist.com')) { jcs('financeshow'); jch('financehide'); } else { jcs('financehide'); jch('financeshow'); }  // hide tick in achow.tv
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (!InStr(location.href,'aconomist.com')) { jih('Ticker'); jih('maxTicker'); jih('minTicker'); }  // ScrollVideo scroll by 30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   setTimeout(function(){  if (isMobile()) $('#ScrollVideo').scrollLeft(30);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   }, 1000); ///////////////////////////////
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ///////////////////////////////
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   clearInterval(finishloading_Interval); } catch(ex) {} }, 100); // hash to scroll
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var scroll_hash; setInterval(function(){ scroll_hash = Replace(location.hash,'#',''); 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (InStr(scroll_hash,'SCROLL_')) { //log(scroll_hash);
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   try { ScrollToElement(scroll_hash,-100); location.hash = ''; if ($('#PanelVerticalMenu').is(":visible")) $("#btnVerticalMenu").trigger('click');
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   } catch(ex){} } }, 500); // youtube video
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var tag = document.createElement('script'); tag.src = 'https://www.youtube.com/iframe_api';
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var firstScriptTag = document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0]; firstScriptTag.parentNode.insertBefore(tag, firstScriptTag); var player; function onYouTubeIframeAPIReady() { player = new YT.Player('topPlayer', { height: '100%', width: '100%', videoId: 'xxx', playerVars: {rel: 0, showinfo: 0, ecver: 2, modestbranding: 1, playsinline: 1} }); } // detect if printing
 var beforePrint = function() { jih('header'); jih('Ticker'); }; var afterPrint = function() { jis('header'); jih('Ticker'); }; if (window.matchMedia) { var mediaQueryList = window.matchMedia('print'); mediaQueryList.addListener(function(mql) { if (mql.matches) { beforePrint(); } else { afterPrint(); } }); } window.onbeforeprint = beforePrint; window.onafterprint = afterPrint; </script>  <div id=top_menu style='position:fixed; width:100% ; left:50%;transform: translateX(-50%); text-align:center; top:50px; padding:10px' class='MaxWidth500 SM'> <a href=/discuss class='SM_font_green font14_'>討論區主頁</a> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1> <a href=# onclick="discuss_new_topic(0,0,0); return false;" class='SM_font_green font14_'>開始新話題</a> <img src=/images/blank.gif width=5 height=1>
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   <input class='tbx_aline2 SM_border_green SM_font_green font12_' style='width:75px; padding:3px;' id=discuss_tbxkeyword><img src=/images/search_green.png width=25 class='pointer' onclick="discuss_search();">
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   </div> <div id=new_topic style=' width:95%; height:600px; overflow-y:auto; top:-1000000px; left:50%; transform: translateX(-50%); position:fixed; padding:20px 50px 50px 50px; border:1px solid #eee;
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   z-index:60000;' class='SM MaxWidth900 SM_border SM'> </div> <script> execScreenMode(); var urlParams = new URLSearchParams(window.location.search); jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword',urlParams.get('keyword')); if (InStr(urlParams.get('keyword'),'AUTHOR:')) jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword','<NULL>'); if (jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword')=='') initTBX('discuss_tbxkeyword','搜尋討論區'); $('#discuss_tbxkeyword').keypress(function (event) {
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   if (event.keyCode == 13) { discuss_search(); } }); function discuss_search() { if (jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword')=='搜尋討論區') jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword','<NULL>'); //var keyword = Traditionalized(jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword'));
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   var keyword = jiv('discuss_tbxkeyword'); var keyword_encoded = urlencode(keyword); if (keyword_encoded=='') location.href = 'https://achow.tv/discuss';
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   else location.href = '/discuss?keyword='+keyword_encoded; } </script>